Some people say that in the future robots will do everything and make human unemployed.Do you agree?Write a paragraph
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15 tháng 4 2019
Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, has a simple way to predict the future. The future is simply what rich people have today. The rich have chauffeurs. In the future, we will have driverless cars that chauffeur us all around. The rich have private bankers. In the future, we will all have robo-bankers.
One thing that we imagine that the rich have today are lives of leisure. So will our future be one in which we too have lives of leisure, and the machines are taking the sweat? We will be able to spend our time on more important things than simply feeding and housing ourselves?
Let’s turn to another chief economist. Andy Haldane is chief economist at the Bank of England. In November 2015, he predicted that 15 million jobs in the UK, roughly half of all jobs, were under threat from automation. You’d hope he knew what he was talking about.
AdvertisementAnd he’s not the only one making dire predictions. Politicians. Bankers. Industrialists. They’re all saying a similar thing.
“We need urgently to face the challenge of automation, robotics that could make so much of contemporary work redundant”, Jeremy Corbyn at the Labour Party Conference in September 2017.
“World Bank data has predicted that the proportion of jobs threatened by automation in India is 69 percent, 77 percent in China and as high as 85 percent in Ethiopia”, according to World Bank president Jim Yong Kim in 2016.
It really does sound like we might be facing the end of work as we know it.
Many of these fears can be traced back to a 2013 study from the University of Oxford. This made a much quoted prediction that 47% of jobs in the US were under threat of automation in the next two decades. Other more recent and detailed studies have made similar dramatic predictions.
Now, there’s a lot to criticize in the Oxford study. From a technical perspective, some of report’s predictions are clearly wrong. The report gives a 94% probability that bicycle repair person will be automated in the next two decades. And, as someone trying to build that future, I can reassure any bicycle repair person that there is zero chance that we will automate even small parts of your job anytime soon. The truth of the matter is no one has any real idea of the number of jobs at risk.
Even if we have as many as 47% of jobs automated, this won’t translate into 47% unemployment. One reason is that we might just work a shorter week. That was the case in the Industrial Revolution. Before the Industrial Revolution, many worked 60 hours per week. After the Industrial Revolution, work reduced to around 40 hours per week. The same could happen with the unfolding AI Revolution.
Another reason that 47% automation won’t translate into 47% unemployment is that all technologies create new jobs as well as destroy them. That’s been the case in the past, and we have no reason to suppose that it won’t be the case in the future. There is, however, no fundamental law of economics that requires the same number of jobs to be created as destroyed. In the past, more jobs were created than destroyed but it doesn’t have to be so in the future.
In the Industrial Revolution, machines took over many of the physical tasks we used to do. But we humans were still left with all the cognitive tasks. This time, as machines start to take on many of the cognitive tasks too, there’s the worrying question: what is left for us humans?
Some of my colleagues suggest there will be plenty of new jobs like robot repair person. I am entirely unconvinced by such claims. The thousands of people who used to paint and weld in most of our car factories got replaced by only a couple of robot repair people.
No, the new jobs will have to be doing jobs where either humans excel or where we choose not to have machines. But here’s the contradiction. In fifty to hundred years time, machines will be super-human. So it’s hard to imagine of any job where humans will remain better than the machines. This means the only jobs left will be those where we prefer humans to do them.
The AI Revolution then will be about rediscovering the things that make us human. Technically, machines will have become amazing artists. They will be able to write music to rival Bach, and paintings to match Picasso. But we’ll still prefer works produced by human artists.
These works will speak to the human experience. We will appreciate a human artist who speaks about love because we have this in common. No machine will truly experience love like we do.
As well as the artistic, there will be a re-appreciation of the artisan. Indeed, we see the beginnings of this already in hipster culture. We will appreciate more and more those things made by the human hand. Mass-produced goods made by machine will become cheap. But items made by hand will be rare and increasingly valuable.
Finally as social animals, we will also increasingly appreciate and value social interactions with other humans. So the most important human traits will be our social and emotional intelligence, as well as our artistic and artisan skills. The irony is that our technological future will not be about technology but all about our humanity.
Toby Walsh is Professor of Artificial Intelligence at the University of New South Wales, in Sydney, Australia. His new book, “Android Dreams: the past, present and future of Artificial Intelligence” was published in the UK by Hurst Publishers in September 2017. It’s available from the Guardian Bookshop. You can read more at his blog, http://thefutureofai.blogspot.com/
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CA
8 tháng 5 2018
I agree with the idea that in the future robots will be very useful to us. Firstly, robots can be made of non-biological materials, rendering them able to withstand environments too toxic, too high or low temperatures, or having other conditions unsuitable for human workers. Secondly, robots do not need to be fed "food" in the traditional sense. They can operate using electricity from a variety of sources. In space, such electricity can come from the sun via solar cells or from fuel carried on board used to make electricity. Thirdly, robots do not get tired, and they can work long hours in dangerous locations that would wear out most astronauts. Fourthly, robots can be equipped with sensors and tools that are more sophisated than the human eyes or ears or hands, rendering robots capable of highly complex tasks. Lastly, robots do not age over time. For long interstellar journeys, they can be placed in a dormant state, to be waken up months or years later ready to go to work. For these reasons and others, robots are ideal machines for use in building space stations on many planets.
XD
6 tháng 5 2018
BT1: Choose the best answer ( A, B, C or D )
1. Robots will be very useful for our lives but they use _____ energy
A. very B. too much C. a little D. some
2. My father always _____ coffee at home instead of going to the coffee shop
A. do B. does C. make D. makes
3. Robots will be able to _____ the personal computer in the future
A. do B. replace C. recognize D. make
4. Nowadays robots can't talk to people or play sports, but in the future I think they _____
A. can B. could C. will D. do
5. Will robots be able _____ our voices ?
A. to recognize B. recognizing C. recognized D. recognizes
6. Robots can't talk to people or recognize our voices, but scientists are working _____ the solution
A. at B. on C. in D. with
7. Many people think sending money on robots is a complete _____ of time and money
A. cut B. number C. waste D. amount
8. _____ you walk when you were two ?
A. can B. could C. will D. do
9. These robots can do many things for the _____ such as cleaning streets of watching plants
A. common B. best C. human D. public
10. Home robots can do things _____ repairing things around the house or looking after the garden
A. such B. like C. with D. of
11. _____ do you think about the new kinds of robots ?
A. what B. how C. when D. why
12. Our future robots will be able to to help us _____ the gardening
A. do B. make C. try D. plant
13. Robots can _____ our houses when we are away
A. see B. guard C. look at D. look
14. In the future, robots will be able to do more _____ things for us
A. harder B. easy C. complicated D. much difficult
15. Do you think rbots can work longer than people _____ getting tired ?
A. but B. of C. with D. whitout
16. They will be very useful because they will be able to do _____ everything for us
A. most B. most of C. almost D. almost of
17. I don't agree _____ you that robots will be able to write letter to an English friend
A. of B. about C. to D. with
18. We must be careful because some people may use robots _____
A. do good things B. to do good things C. do bad thing D. to do bad things
19. - " Robots are helping us a lot in industry, education, and in our house"
- " _____ "
A. I agree with you B. What about you? C. I hope not D. Do you agree with that?
20. - " We waste a lot of money and time researching and making robots"
- " _____"
A. I think not B. I don't think so C. I agree with D. I don't hope so
QN
6 tháng 4 2018
If you use social networking Facebook properly, this form of communication gives you more benefits than you think. Facebook is where you can introduce yourself. What capacity do you have? What are you interested in and what do you love?Introducing your interests as well as your strengths on the social network will give you more opportunities to learn about your life issues. You can learn a lot of knowledge from Facebook. Can learn a lot of knowledge in many areas from Facebook. Taking advantage of all the information and using it will help you improve yourself. Facebook helps keep you up-to-date. Use Facebook to keep up with friends and what's happening around you. Updating information in a modern society is something that should be done and should be done. Facebook is also an effective way of receiving information, because of the popularity of Facebook, the information is also brought up more quickly.Facebook helps you connect friends.On the Facebook app, it's easy to get familiar with many people. With the ability to chat for free and also not limited to this is a tool that allows you to chat and chat easily easily. When communicating on Facebook, you can connect with your friends and Get updates on their lives. You can keep in touch with your friends even if you do not have time to meet them. Sometimes you will find old friends a time that is hard to meet elsewhere.Facebook help you express your views If you discover a new hobby, share with the world. By using social networks, you can share everything, from a living standpoint to a fashionable lifestyle. Many people think that joining a social network is time-consuming and pointless. If you use social networking properly, it will bring you more benefits than the annoyance.Facebook is an effective advertising environment for businesses With the information that people Share, Facebook will rely on that put ads with each object to suit their interests. So, the ads will be more interested.Facebook to promote the image of celebritiesChat, actor, ... well known will at least have a Fanpage page, with billions of members, this is where too appropriate to promote their image.
13 tháng 4 2018
In modern world, technology has played an active role in people physical lives; on the other hand, it can not touch our spiritual lives while art can. One of several reasons related to this is that art help us express our soul. Actually science is a combinations of tools, methods and machines which solve our physical problems. Meanwhile art such as colorful drawings, paintings, rock songs, romantic movies gives painters, film writers a ability to express their ideas and feelings. That is why art probably touch our soul. Other reason is a benefit of enjoying artworks to who enjoy art. It for instance listening to music and watching movie helps listeners and viewers feel relax after a hard-working day fulled of stress. While, techonology can not cause it can only solve our particular troubles, save time and cost, not a spiritual troubles. In short, both science and art play a significant role in human life, people are not able to live without one of those.
(Tham khảo đi !)
The notion that robots will eventually take over all tasks and render humans unemployed is a topic that sparks both curiosity and concern. While it is true that advancements in technology, particularly in the field of robotics and artificial intelligence, have the potential to automate certain jobs, it is essential to consider the broader implications. Automation has been a part of human progress throughout history, leading to the transformation of industries and the creation of new opportunities. Rather than focusing on the possibility of complete human unemployment, we should emphasize the need for adaptability and redefining the role of humans in a future where automation plays a significant role. By embracing technology as a tool and investing in education and training, we can shape a future where humans and robots collaborate, complementing each other's strengths to drive innovation and create new avenues of employment. It is crucial to approach this transition thoughtfully and proactively to ensure that the benefits of automation are widely shared and that individuals are equipped with the skills needed to thrive in the evolving job market.